Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026405 0.028654 0.031004 0.033647 0.036538 0.039604 0.043108
2025-08-17 0.022430 0.025623 0.029152 0.033349 0.038213 0.043683 0.050317
2025-08-24 0.019690 0.023355 0.027574 0.032803 0.039132 0.046570 0.056010
2025-08-31 0.017800 0.021764 0.026478 0.032524 0.040104 0.049341 0.061515
2025-09-07 0.016324 0.020481 0.025566 0.032279 0.040958 0.051870 0.066736
2025-09-14 0.015145 0.019440 0.024826 0.032122 0.041817 0.054355 0.071952
2025-09-21 0.014052 0.018409 0.023995 0.031741 0.042292 0.056288 0.076473
2025-09-28 0.013289 0.017743 0.023574 0.031837 0.043356 0.059010 0.082176
2025-10-05 0.012516 0.017004 0.022993 0.031650 0.043982 0.061121 0.087097
2025-10-12 0.011931 0.016479 0.022658 0.031763 0.045002 0.063799 0.092956
2025-10-19 0.011408 0.016003 0.022353 0.031883 0.046011 0.066484 0.098952
2025-10-26 0.010890 0.015502 0.021978 0.031863 0.046791 0.068847 0.104570
2025-11-02 0.010490 0.015168 0.021854 0.032249 0.048265 0.072436 0.112495
2025-11-09 0.009886 0.014506 0.021216 0.031831 0.048497 0.074155 0.117615
2025-11-16 0.009302 0.013839 0.020531 0.031293 0.048494 0.075484 0.122163
2025-11-23 0.008836 0.013325 0.020044 0.031024 0.048885 0.077439 0.127847
2025-11-30 0.008417 0.012858 0.019601 0.030791 0.049306 0.079443 0.133722
2025-12-07 0.008049 0.012450 0.019227 0.030642 0.049842 0.081652 0.140075
2025-12-14 0.007661 0.011990 0.018743 0.030281 0.049992 0.083200 0.145338
2025-12-21 0.007397 0.011715 0.018541 0.030371 0.050904 0.086093 0.153202
2025-12-28 0.007096 0.011364 0.018194 0.030194 0.051337 0.088159 0.159666
2026-01-04 0.006870 0.011126 0.018021 0.030302 0.052265 0.091147 0.168047
2026-01-11 0.006660 0.010902 0.017859 0.030415 0.053205 0.094197 0.176743